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Conflict-led fuel price rise could make the case for EV fleets, says FleetCheck

Peter Golding says rising pump prices may prompt fleets to revisit their cost strategies, potentially favouring EVs as a more economical alternative.

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Escalating tensions in the Middle East could act as a catalyst for faster electric vehicle (EV) adoption by UK fleets, according to FleetCheck.

With Brent Crude oil prices already reaching a five-month high and forecasts suggesting further increases, FleetCheck CEO Peter Golding said that rising pump prices may prompt fleets to revisit their cost strategies, potentially favouring EVs as a more economical alternative.

Golding said: “Clearly, we are fleet experts rather than commentators on the Middle Eastern situation, but it seems quite clear that the current situation, unless it is resolved unexpectedly quickly, is going to lead to a spike in petrol and diesel prices and potentially quite a dramatic one.”

He added that previous fuel price surges typically prompted fleets to tighten control through fuel cards, reduce business travel, and to increasingly consider EV as a cost-effective solution, particularly when home charging is available.

Golding said: “If electric cars and vans are charged at home, they are by far the cheapest way of covering miles on an operational basis.

“High and unpredictable oil prices do change the maths behind total cost of ownership and increase the attractiveness of EVs to fleets.”

He also highlighted that falling EV prices are tipping the balance in favour of electric adoption.

Many models are approaching price parity with petrol and diesel equivalents, a trend driven by increased competition from Chinese OEMs and more affordable offerings from established brands.

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Golding said: “We’re rapidly seeing the price of new electric cars broadly align with petrol and diesel equivalents.

“Chinese manufacturers have massive overcapacity and are currently engaged in a huge price war in their domestic market.

“While we don’t expect to see disorderly marketing emerging, the pressure on them to discount stock and increase market share in the UK and Europe is going to be almost unavoidable.”

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While electric vans still face challenges around range and payload, Golding believes the tipping point for many operators may be near.

He said: “It is like playing the penny falls machine at an amusement arcade. Eventually, the balance of factors that influence EV adoption such as fuel prices and the cost of acquisition accumulate and the coin drops.

“For some van fleets, electric vans will now make greater sense, even where there are operational hurdles to overcome.”

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