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Fleet replacement cycles are now just a waiting game

The result of an ageing fleet is even more pressure on maintenance, uptime and overall usage.

Fleet replacement cycles
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Economic uncertainty is no doubt playing a huge factor in the rhythm of fleet replacement cycles; it is not something that is planned anymore, but more of a waiting game.

We find that fleets may not be replacing vehicles because they want to but more, they have to.

We have seen volatile interest rates and the wider economic pressures on businesses, causing the domino effect on fleet.

Vehicles are being held onto for longer beyond typical change cycles.

The result of an ageing fleet is even more pressure on maintenance, uptime and overall usage.

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To a degree, it is not about cost in several ways though; that is a secondary consideration.

The bigger hesitation we are seeing is around technology and the pace of which it’s advancing.

We are seeing an unprecedented volume of new models coming to the market, not just from emerging brands but from established OEMs too.

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Every product cycle is seeing a meaningful improvement in battery range, charging speeds, efficiency and general in-vehicle tech.

It is causing a dilemma for fleet decision-makers. Do you commit now or wait for something materially better?

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The level of innovation we are seeing is a huge positive but it is having an unintended impact on decisions.

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When you put that into the picture alongside the uncertainty over the ZEV mandate and any future regulation, it becomes harder to make confident long-term decisions.

What we see most if businesses prioritising technology evolution beyond just cost.

Uptime is critical to keep businesses well balanced; VOR is not just an operational metric for fleet decisionmakers, it is discussed at the board level.

The costs of vehicles sitting off the road often outweigh any savings made on acquisition.

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From this, there is a greater focus on reliability, parts availability and aftersales networks.

It is not just about the vehicle anymore, it is about how quickly it can be repaired and how strong the service network behind the brand is. That is making a huge impact on decisions.

While newer entrants have got people’s attention, fleets are still weighing up their confidence in infrastructure and residual values, which can impact monthly costs if on contract hire.

At the same time as all of this, fleets are taking a more holistic approach to how they view their operations.

There is a key focus on utilisation, right-sizing and challenging whether existing fleet setups are still appropriate rather than defaulting to their norm.

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I touched on residual value risks, and if anything, that is the most prevalent point to this, especially in the EV space and with new entrants to the market.

Fleets are highly conscious of how today’s decision will impact future operations.

While we see value as being part of the conversation as ever, real priorities now sit with resilience, reliability and confidence.

Confidence in product, reliability of the vehicle and resilience of the aftersales network.

In a market where economic and technology changes are driving factors, fleet decisionmakers are spending more time to make the right decision.

Phil Wilbraham is managing director of Driveway Vehicle Solutions